Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
12.4139.4%
X3.1530.2%
23.1230.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sunderland
WLWLWWLLDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Bristol City
LWDLDWLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.80
Against
4.60
10.40
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.50
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sunderland attack
1.10goals per matchBristol City conceded1.50Matchup
Bristol City attack
1.30goals per matchSunderland conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.60
10.40
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.10
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
24.00
Match total
19.10
Shots
12.70N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.40
On target
4.50
9%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches894
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.4%39.1%-0.3 pp
Draw30.2%31.8%+1.6 pp
Away30.4%29.1%-1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.5%
Over 2.539.8%
Over 3.519.9%
BTTS48.2%
Historical average
1.22–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.1%
0-011.4%
1-011.1%
2-19.5%
0-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.10–4.46
Average total9.57
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=894.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.536.8%
Over 11.526.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches334
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT29.3%24.7%–34.4% CI
Draw FT45.2%40.0%–50.6% CI
Away FT25.4%21.1%–30.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.5%
2+ goals39.5%
3+ goals15.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.3%
Away44.9%