Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
11.8252.1%
X3.7925.0%
24.1522.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Middlesbrough
LWLDDLLWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Swansea
DLDDLWWDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.00
Against
4.90
11.80
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
1.10goals per matchSwansea conceded1.70Matchup
Swansea attack
1.10goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.90
11.80
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.40
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
20.00
Match total
23.40
Shots
15.90N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
7%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches215
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.1%52.6%+0.4 pp
Draw25.0%25.1%+0.1 pp
Away22.9%22.3%-0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS57.2%
Historical average
1.78–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
2-08.8%
1-27.9%
3-17.9%
1-07.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.07–4.44
Average total10.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=215.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.559.1%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.538.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.3%29.0%–52.7% CI
Draw FT43.5%31.9%–55.9% CI
Away FT16.1%9.0%–27.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.47
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home64.5%
Away43.5%