Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
11.8252.1%
X3.7925.0%
24.1522.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Middlesbrough
LWLDDLLWDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Swansea
DLDDLWWDLD
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.00
Against
4.90
11.80
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.30
Total goals
2.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.10goals per match
Swansea conceded1.70
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.10goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.90
11.80
Match total
9.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.40
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
20.00
Match total
23.40

Shots

15.90N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.50
On target
3.20
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches215
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.1%52.6%+0.4 pp
Draw25.0%25.1%+0.1 pp
Away22.9%22.3%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.531.6%
BTTS57.2%

Historical average

1.781.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
2-08.8%
1-27.9%
3-17.9%
1-07.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.074.44
Average total10.51

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=215.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.559.1%
Over 10.548.8%
Over 11.538.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.3%29.0%–52.7% CI
Draw FT43.5%31.9%–55.9% CI
Away FT16.1%9.0%–27.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home64.5%
Away43.5%