Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
13.8524.7%
X4.0523.4%
21.8351.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Blackburn
WLDDLWDDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Southampton
DDWDWWLWWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.10N=10
For
8.40N=10
5.00
Against
4.20
10.10
Total
12.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Blackburn attack
1.30goals per matchSouthampton conceded1.30Matchup
Southampton attack
1.80goals per matchBlackburn conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
8.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.20
10.10
Match total
12.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
18.60
Match total
20.10
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
4.70
On target
5.70
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.7%15.8%-8.9 pp
Draw23.4%31.6%+8.1 pp
Away51.9%52.6%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS68.4%
Historical average
1.13–1.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-118.4%
1-213.2%
2-313.2%
0-37.9%
2-27.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.50–5.63
Average total10.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.560.5%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Draw FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.64
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals27.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away59.1%