Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 15:00
13.8524.7%
X4.0523.4%
21.8351.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Blackburn
WLDDLWDDDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Southampton
DDWDWWLWWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
8.40N=10
5.00
Against
4.20
10.10
Total
12.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.60
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Blackburn attack

1.30goals per match
Southampton conceded1.30
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.80goals per match
Blackburn conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
8.40N=10
5.00
Corners against
4.20
10.10
Match total
12.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
4.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
18.60
Match total
20.10

Shots

12.00N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
4.70
On target
5.70
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches38
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.7%15.8%-8.9 pp
Draw23.4%31.6%+8.1 pp
Away51.9%52.6%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.2%
Over 2.560.5%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS68.4%

Historical average

1.131.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.4%
1-213.2%
2-313.2%
0-37.9%
2-27.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.505.63
Average total10.13

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=38.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.1%
Over 9.560.5%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Draw FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away59.1%