Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 17:30
12.4738.3%
X3.7125.5%
22.6236.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ipswich
WDDDWDWWWW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Southampton
DDDWDWWLWW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

2.50
Scored
1.70
1.30
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
8.40N=10
4.40
Against
4.40
10.20
Total
12.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.50
Goals scored
1.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.10
3.80
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ipswich attack

2.50goals per match
Southampton conceded1.10
Matchup

Southampton attack

1.70goals per match
Ipswich conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
8.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.40
10.20
Match total
12.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
21.80
Match total
19.10

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
15.30N=10
6.10
On target
5.30
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches89
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.3%44.9%+6.6 pp
Draw25.5%21.3%-4.2 pp
Away36.1%33.7%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.544.9%
BTTS64.0%

Historical average

1.701.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-110.1%
2-29.0%
1-19.0%
3-19.0%
2-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.035.39
Average total10.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=89.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.9%
Over 9.560.7%
Over 10.549.4%
Over 11.537.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.4%15.6%–50.9% CI
Draw FT21.7%9.7%–41.9% CI
Away FT47.8%29.2%–67.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.0%
2+ goals34.8%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.5%
Away65.2%