Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 15:00
11.9050.0%
X3.4927.2%
24.1622.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

West Brom
LDWWWWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Watford
WWDWDDLWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.70
0.70
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.10N=10
6.40
Against
6.80
12.90
Total
11.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

West Brom attack

1.50goals per match
Watford conceded1.20
Matchup

Watford attack

1.70goals per match
West Brom conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
6.40
Corners against
6.80
12.90
Match total
11.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.10
Match total
4.50
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
19.40
Match total
23.80

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
3.70
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches719
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%50.1%+0.1 pp
Draw27.2%27.7%+0.5 pp
Away22.8%22.3%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.523.4%
BTTS50.6%

Historical average

1.500.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.1%
1-111.8%
2-111.1%
2-09.6%
0-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.724.03
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=719.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.527.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches244
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.9%31.1%–43.1% CI
Draw FT39.8%33.8%–46.0% CI
Away FT23.4%18.5%–29.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals11.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.7%
Away40.6%