Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 15:00
12.4838.2%
X3.3128.6%
22.8633.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Swansea
DLWWLLLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
QPR
LWLLDWLWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.60
1H goals
0.60
1.00
2H goals
1.00
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
4.20
Against
5.40
11.30
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
0.80
2.60
Total goals
1.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Swansea attack
1.10goals per matchQPR conceded0.80Matchup
QPR attack
0.80goals per matchSwansea conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.40
11.30
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
21.50
Match total
21.70
Shots
13.60N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
3.90
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches527
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.2%35.7%-2.5 pp
Draw28.6%31.3%+2.7 pp
Away33.1%33.0%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.523.9%
BTTS52.8%
Historical average
1.23–1.21
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.6%
0-110.4%
1-010.1%
0-08.9%
2-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.23–4.57
Average total9.80
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=527.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.551.8%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.526.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches168
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.2%22.8%–36.4% CI
Draw FT43.5%36.2%–51.0% CI
Away FT27.4%21.2%–34.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.0%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals13.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.8%
Away47.6%