Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 15:00
12.6036.5%
X3.3328.5%
22.7135.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Plymouth
WWDDWDLLLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Bristol City
DLWDLDWLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.30
2.00
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.20
2.00
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
5.50N=10
5.40
Against
3.90
11.10
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded
1.60
3.60
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Plymouth attack

1.60goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.60
Matchup

Bristol City attack

1.30goals per match
Plymouth conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
5.40
Corners against
3.90
11.10
Match total
9.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.20
Match total
2.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
23.90
Match total
18.30

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
4.80
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches775
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.5%35.2%-1.3 pp
Draw28.5%29.3%+0.8 pp
Away35.0%35.5%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS55.1%

Historical average

1.271.28

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-09.9%
0-19.3%
1-29.2%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.074.64
Average total9.71

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=775.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.526.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches244
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.0%26.4%–38.1% CI
Draw FT38.1%32.2%–44.3% CI
Away FT29.9%24.5%–35.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.5%
2+ goals41.8%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.9%
Away52.9%