Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 15:00
11.5362.0%
X4.2822.2%
26.0015.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Coventry
WWDWDWDWLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Cardiff
LLWWLWLLWL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.50
Against
7.20
11.40
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Coventry attack

2.00goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.80
Matchup

Cardiff attack

0.80goals per match
Coventry conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.20
11.40
Match total
10.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
24.50
Match total
21.60

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.70
On target
2.70
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches305
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.0%63.6%+1.6 pp
Draw22.2%21.0%-1.2 pp
Away15.8%15.4%-0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.553.1%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS44.9%

Historical average

2.000.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-014.4%
1-011.1%
2-19.5%
1-19.2%
3-07.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.133.76
Average total9.89

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=305.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.0%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches64
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.8%32.3%–55.9% CI
Draw FT40.6%29.5%–52.9% CI
Away FT15.6%8.7%–26.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.22

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals34.4%
3+ goals10.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.4%
Away37.5%