Championship · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 15:00
12.3640.2%
X3.3628.2%
23.0131.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Birmingham
DLLDDWWLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Preston
LDWLLLDWWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.70
1.30
2H goals
0.70
60%
Goal in 2H
40%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.30N=10
5.70
Against
5.80
10.20
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.60
Total goals
2.40
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.10goals per match
Preston conceded1.20
Matchup

Preston attack

1.20goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
40%4/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.80
10.20
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
24.10
Match total
23.70

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.80
On target
2.80
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches998
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.2%42.8%+2.6 pp
Draw28.2%29.6%+1.3 pp
Away31.5%27.7%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.524.0%
BTTS49.6%

Historical average

1.351.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
1-012.0%
2-110.2%
0-09.2%
0-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.64
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=998.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches346
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT33.2%28.5%–38.4% CI
Draw FT39.3%34.3%–44.5% CI
Away FT27.5%23.0%–32.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals13.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.9%
Away45.4%