Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 20:00
15.7516.5%
X4.3022.1%
21.5561.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
WDLLDLLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Leeds
WLLLWWWWDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.60
1.80
Conceded
0.50
60%
Over 2.5
30%
90%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.70
Against
6.70
10.30
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.60
1.80
Goals conceded
0.50
2.90
Total goals
2.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
90%9/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.10goals per match
Leeds conceded0.50
Matchup

Leeds attack

1.60goals per match
Watford conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
1.00
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.70
Corners against
6.70
10.30
Match total
11.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.20N=10
5.10
Match total
3.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
23.90
Match total
21.80

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.80
On target
4.30
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches158
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home16.5%12.0%-4.5 pp
Draw22.1%19.0%-3.1 pp
Away61.3%69.0%+7.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

0.832.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-213.3%
0-111.4%
0-310.1%
0-29.5%
1-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.116.04
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=157.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.542.7%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches42
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT9.5%3.8%–22.1% CI
Draw FT38.1%25.0%–53.2% CI
Away FT52.4%37.7%–66.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.1%
Away71.4%