Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 15:00
11.5760.4%
X4.4921.1%
25.1418.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Southampton
WWWWWWWLLW
8W 0D 2L · 2.40 PPM
Middlesbrough
LWLWWLWLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.30
2.50
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.30N=10
For
4.50N=10
2.50
Against
5.50
10.80
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
3.90
Total goals
2.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Southampton attack

2.90goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.20
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.50goals per match
Southampton conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
2.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.50
10.80
Match total
10.00
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
3.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
21.40
Match total
20.80

Shots

17.10N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
7.20
On target
4.10
17%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches83
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.4%60.2%-0.2 pp
Draw21.1%16.9%-4.3 pp
Away18.5%22.9%+4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.4%
Over 2.572.3%
Over 3.549.4%
BTTS62.7%

Historical average

2.391.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-010.8%
2-19.6%
0-19.6%
3-27.2%
4-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.203.75
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=83.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.574.7%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.544.6%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.7%24.8%–69.9% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT33.3%15.2%–58.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home66.7%
Away53.3%