Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 15:00
12.0646.1%
X3.4227.8%
23.6426.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

QPR
DLLLWDDWDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Birmingham
LWDLWLLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.40
Against
6.20
11.10
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

QPR attack

1.10goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.70
Matchup

Birmingham attack

0.80goals per match
QPR conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.20
11.10
Match total
10.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.00
Match total
3.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
24.50
Match total
23.60

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.20
On target
4.10
8%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches607
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.1%49.1%+3.0 pp
Draw27.8%28.2%+0.4 pp
Away26.1%22.7%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS50.2%

Historical average

1.500.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.4%
1-112.0%
2-110.9%
2-010.4%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.374.32
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=607.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.547.9%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches199
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT42.2%35.6%–49.2% CI
Draw FT36.2%29.8%–43.1% CI
Away FT21.6%16.5%–27.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals13.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.8%
Away39.2%