Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 15:00
11.5362.1%
X4.0223.6%
26.6314.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Preston
LLWLWWWDDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Rotherham
DLLDDLLLLL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
2.80
60%
Over 2.5
80%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.80
1.80
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.80
Against
6.70
10.30
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
2.80
2.90
Total goals
3.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Preston attack

1.30goals per match
Rotherham conceded2.80
Matchup

Rotherham attack

0.90goals per match
Preston conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.70
10.30
Match total
10.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.00
Match total
2.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
22.10
Match total
22.40

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
4.40
On target
2.60
11%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches201
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.1%72.6%+10.6 pp
Draw23.6%16.9%-6.7 pp
Away14.3%10.4%-3.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.525.9%
BTTS36.8%

Historical average

1.940.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.4%
2-013.9%
3-011.9%
2-17.0%
3-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.093.58
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=201.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.548.3%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.527.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches71
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT66.2%54.6%–76.1% CI
Draw FT23.9%15.5%–35.0% CI
Away FT9.9%4.9%–19.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal83.1%
2+ goals38.0%
3+ goals15.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.1%
Away21.1%