Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-29 · 13:00
13.4427.6%
X3.0631.1%
22.3041.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
DDWWLDLLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
West Brom
LWLLLDWDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.20
20%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
0.80
2H goals
1.80
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.30
Against
5.50
9.10
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.90goals per match
West Brom conceded1.20
Matchup

West Brom attack

1.50goals per match
Millwall conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.50
9.10
Match total
10.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.00
Match total
2.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

13.60N=10
Committed
8.90N=10
24.80
Match total
18.40

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.60
On target
3.60
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches175
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.6%28.0%+0.4 pp
Draw31.1%33.1%+2.1 pp
Away41.3%38.9%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.521.1%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.041.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.3%
1-113.7%
0-010.3%
1-09.7%
2-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.914.94
Average total8.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=175.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.4%
Over 9.539.4%
Over 10.528.6%
Over 11.517.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.5%14.0%–36.8% CI
Draw FT43.1%30.5%–56.7% CI
Away FT33.3%22.0%–47.0% CI

Remaining goals

0.92

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.7%
2+ goals21.6%
3+ goals5.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home33.3%
Away41.2%