Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 15:00
11.3470.5%
X4.9819.0%
29.0110.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leeds
WWDWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Millwall
LLLDWLLLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.80
0.60
Conceded
1.40
70%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.60
Against
6.10
8.40
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.80
0.60
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Leeds attack

2.40goals per match
Millwall conceded1.40
Matchup

Millwall attack

0.80goals per match
Leeds conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
2.60N=10
2.60
Corners against
6.10
8.40
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.70
Match total
3.70
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
24.30
Match total
22.30

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
6.50N=10
6.50
On target
2.50
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.5%71.0%+0.5 pp
Draw19.0%14.5%-4.5 pp
Away10.5%14.5%+4.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS40.6%

Historical average

1.870.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-020.3%
2-014.5%
2-111.6%
1-27.2%
0-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

7.703.28
Average total10.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.3%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.552.2%
Over 11.543.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT61.1%38.6%–79.7% CI
Draw FT27.8%12.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.2%
Away27.8%