Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:00
12.5637.1%
X3.3628.3%
22.7434.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
LLDDDLLWLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Norwich
LWDLLWLDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.60
30%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.50
1.20
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.70
Against
5.80
10.10
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
1.80
Total goals
2.80
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

0.50goals per match
Norwich conceded1.60
Matchup

Norwich attack

1.20goals per match
Stoke conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.70
Corners against
5.80
10.10
Match total
9.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.90
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
21.30
Match total
21.30

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
3.60
On target
3.20
4%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches646
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.1%35.3%-1.8 pp
Draw28.3%28.2%-0.1 pp
Away34.7%36.5%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.1%
Over 2.549.5%
Over 3.525.7%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

1.291.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
1-211.1%
1-09.6%
0-19.0%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.124.57
Average total9.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=646.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.550.2%
Over 10.537.8%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches200
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.5%25.5%–38.2% CI
Draw FT38.0%31.6%–44.9% CI
Away FT30.5%24.5%–37.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals42.0%
3+ goals17.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.0%
Away52.5%