Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:00
12.5237.7%
X3.3328.6%
22.8233.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Plymouth
WWWDDWDLLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Preston
WLDWLLLDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.30
1.90
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.70
2.00
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.30
Against
5.90
11.80
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded
1.30
3.70
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Plymouth attack
1.80goals per matchPreston conceded1.30Matchup
Preston attack
1.30goals per matchPlymouth conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
6.30
Corners against
5.90
11.80
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.30
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.10N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
22.30
Match total
22.60
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.00
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches560
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.7%38.2%+0.5 pp
Draw28.6%26.6%-1.9 pp
Away33.7%35.2%+1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS54.3%
Historical average
1.33–1.25
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
1-011.1%
1-210.5%
0-19.1%
2-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.07–4.58
Average total9.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=560.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.527.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches168
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.3%29.4%–43.8% CI
Draw FT34.5%27.8%–42.0% CI
Away FT29.2%22.8%–36.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.4%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals17.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.7%
Away52.4%