Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:00
12.5237.7%
X3.3328.6%
22.8233.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Plymouth
WWWDDWDLLL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Preston
WLDWLLLDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.30
1.90
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.70
2.00
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.00N=10
6.30
Against
5.90
11.80
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.90
Goals conceded
1.30
3.70
Total goals
2.60
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Plymouth attack

1.80goals per match
Preston conceded1.30
Matchup

Preston attack

1.30goals per match
Plymouth conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
6.30
Corners against
5.90
11.80
Match total
8.90
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.30
Match total
3.70
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

9.10N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
22.30
Match total
22.60

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
5.00
On target
2.80
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches560
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.7%38.2%+0.5 pp
Draw28.6%26.6%-1.9 pp
Away33.7%35.2%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

1.331.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-011.1%
1-210.5%
0-19.1%
2-17.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.074.58
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=560.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.549.6%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches168
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.3%29.4%–43.8% CI
Draw FT34.5%27.8%–42.0% CI
Away FT29.2%22.8%–36.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.50

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.4%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals17.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.7%
Away52.4%