Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 15:00
12.4339.1%
X3.3728.2%
22.9032.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Birmingham
WDLLDDWWLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Watford
WWWDWDDLWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.80
1.50
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
5.70
Against
6.90
10.10
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.30
2.80
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.30goals per match
Watford conceded1.30
Matchup

Watford attack

1.80goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
5.70
Corners against
6.90
10.10
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.80
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
24.00
Match total
23.40

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
3.70
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches376
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.1%40.4%+1.3 pp
Draw28.2%30.1%+1.9 pp
Away32.7%29.5%-3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.532.2%
BTTS59.0%

Historical average

1.561.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
2-08.5%
2-18.5%
1-28.0%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.344.62
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=376.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.2%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches100
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.0%22.8%–40.6% CI
Draw FT40.0%30.9%–49.8% CI
Away FT29.0%21.0%–38.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.0%
2+ goals46.0%
3+ goals17.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.0%
Away53.0%