Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 12:30
12.0346.9%
X3.3628.3%
23.8424.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
DDLWWLLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Cardiff
WLLWWLWLLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
1.70
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.10
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.80
Against
6.80
10.10
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
2.80
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.10goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.70
Matchup

Cardiff attack

1.00goals per match
Swansea conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.80
10.10
Match total
10.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
11.00N=10
21.50
Match total
20.80

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
3.80
On target
3.30
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches792
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.9%48.5%+1.6 pp
Draw28.3%27.8%-0.5 pp
Away24.8%23.7%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

1.510.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
1-011.9%
2-110.9%
2-09.7%
0-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.574.26
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=792.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.538.1%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches258
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.5%33.8%–45.6% CI
Draw FT38.0%32.3%–44.0% CI
Away FT22.5%17.8%–28.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals12.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.3%
Away39.5%