Championship · 2023/24
2024-03-12 · 19:45
12.8733.1%
X3.5227.0%
22.3839.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Birmingham
DWDLLDDWWL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Middlesbrough
LLWLWWLWLW
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
1.60
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.40
1.70
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.90N=10
6.10
Against
5.50
10.90
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.60
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.50goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.50
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.60goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
6.10
Corners against
5.50
10.90
Match total
10.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
4.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
24.50
Match total
21.30

Shots

12.30N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.00
On target
4.20
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches267
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.1%27.7%-5.4 pp
Draw27.0%30.7%+3.7 pp
Away39.9%41.6%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.535.6%
BTTS60.3%

Historical average

1.291.65

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
2-28.6%
1-27.5%
0-27.5%
0-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.925.26
Average total10.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=266.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.9%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches74
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.3%16.0%–35.2% CI
Draw FT40.5%30.1%–51.9% CI
Away FT35.1%25.2%–46.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.4%
2+ goals44.6%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.9%
Away59.5%