Championship · 2022/23
2023-05-08 · 15:00
12.3640.2%
X3.4627.4%
22.9332.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Watford
WDDWDWDLWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Stoke
DLLLWWDWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.70
1.10
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.30
Against
4.40
9.90
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Watford attack
1.60goals per matchStoke conceded1.10Matchup
Stoke attack
1.70goals per matchWatford conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.40
9.90
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.10
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
23.60
Match total
22.00
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
4.70
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches367
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.2%40.6%+0.4 pp
Draw27.4%28.6%+1.2 pp
Away32.4%30.8%-1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS59.1%
Historical average
1.49–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.1%
2-110.4%
1-210.1%
2-09.0%
2-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.48–4.63
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=366.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.532.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.0%24.7%–42.6% CI
Draw FT42.7%33.6%–52.4% CI
Away FT24.3%17.0%–33.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.49
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals43.7%
3+ goals19.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.3%
Away50.5%