Championship · 2022/23
2023-05-08 · 15:00
12.3640.2%
X3.4627.4%
22.9332.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
WDDWDWDLWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Stoke
DLLLWWDWDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.70
1.10
Conceded
1.10
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
50%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.30
Against
4.40
9.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.70
Total goals
2.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.60goals per match
Stoke conceded1.10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.70goals per match
Watford conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
50%5/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.30
Corners against
4.40
9.90
Match total
9.70
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.10
Match total
3.90
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
23.60
Match total
22.00

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
4.70
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches367
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.2%40.6%+0.4 pp
Draw27.4%28.6%+1.2 pp
Away32.4%30.8%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.529.4%
BTTS59.1%

Historical average

1.491.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.1%
2-110.4%
1-210.1%
2-09.0%
2-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.484.63
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=366.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.555.2%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.532.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.0%24.7%–42.6% CI
Draw FT42.7%33.6%–52.4% CI
Away FT24.3%17.0%–33.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals43.7%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.3%
Away50.5%