Championship · 2022/23
2023-05-08 · 15:00
13.1230.5%
X3.6126.3%
22.2043.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Swansea
LLWLDLWDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
West Brom
WLLLLDLWWL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.60
Against
5.90
8.40
Total
10.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
3.20
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Swansea attack
1.60goals per matchWest Brom conceded1.80Matchup
West Brom attack
1.20goals per matchSwansea conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.70
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.90
8.40
Match total
10.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.80
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
23.40
Match total
20.50
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.30
On target
4.10
12%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches270
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.5%31.9%+1.4 pp
Draw26.3%26.7%+0.3 pp
Away43.2%41.5%-1.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.532.2%
BTTS56.3%
Historical average
1.30–1.57
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.3%
0-18.9%
1-28.1%
0-28.1%
2-17.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.55–5.39
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=269.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.555.4%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.529.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.7%10.9%–27.6% CI
Draw FT36.7%26.9%–47.7% CI
Away FT45.6%35.0%–56.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.51
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.5%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals19.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.0%
Away65.8%