Championship · 2022/23
2023-05-08 · 15:00
12.3640.1%
X3.5626.6%
22.8533.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
QPR
DDLLLWLLLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Bristol City
DWDLDLLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.60
1.70
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.60N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.50
Against
4.70
10.10
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.60
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
QPR attack
0.60goals per matchBristol City conceded1.20Matchup
Bristol City attack
0.60goals per matchQPR conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.10
2H goals scored
0.30
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.70
10.10
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.10
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
23.50
Match total
20.60
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
2.30
On target
3.20
6%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches262
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%37.4%-2.7 pp
Draw26.6%28.6%+2.0 pp
Away33.2%34.0%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.555.3%
Over 3.533.2%
BTTS61.1%
Historical average
1.46–1.34
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.6%
1-211.1%
2-28.8%
2-17.6%
2-07.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.16–4.91
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=262.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.533.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches73
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.5%22.0%–42.9% CI
Draw FT38.4%28.1%–49.8% CI
Away FT30.1%20.8%–41.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.60
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.7%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals23.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.2%
Away52.1%