Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 15:00
11.8351.9%
X3.6026.4%
24.3721.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sunderland
LWWDLLDDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Watford
LWLDDLLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.60
1.80
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
2.30
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.10
Against
5.40
8.90
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
1.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Sunderland attack

1.50goals per match
Watford conceded1.60
Matchup

Watford attack

0.60goals per match
Sunderland conceded1.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.40
8.90
Match total
9.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.20
Match total
5.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

9.50N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
25.00
Match total
25.80

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.20
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches263
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.9%48.3%-3.6 pp
Draw26.4%29.7%+3.3 pp
Away21.7%22.1%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS51.0%

Historical average

1.591.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
2-010.6%
1-010.3%
0-08.4%
2-17.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.784.38
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=263.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%28.4%–48.8% CI
Draw FT42.9%32.8%–53.5% CI
Away FT19.0%12.1%–28.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals10.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away39.3%