Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 15:00
11.8351.9%
X3.6026.4%
24.3721.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sunderland
LWWDLLDDWD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Watford
LWLDDLLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.60
1.80
Conceded
1.60
50%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.00
2.30
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.10
Against
5.40
8.90
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.60
1.80
Goals conceded
1.60
3.30
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sunderland attack
1.50goals per matchWatford conceded1.60Matchup
Watford attack
0.60goals per matchSunderland conceded1.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.20
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.10
Corners against
5.40
8.90
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.80N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.20
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.50N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
25.00
Match total
25.80
Shots
12.40N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.20
On target
2.60
12%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches263
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.9%48.3%-3.6 pp
Draw26.4%29.7%+3.3 pp
Away21.7%22.1%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS51.0%
Historical average
1.59–1.02
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.8%
2-010.6%
1-010.3%
0-08.4%
2-17.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.78–4.38
Average total10.15
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=263.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.8%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches84
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.1%28.4%–48.8% CI
Draw FT42.9%32.8%–53.5% CI
Away FT19.0%12.1%–28.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals10.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.0%
Away39.3%