Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 15:00
11.9847.9%
X3.4827.3%
23.8324.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Stoke
LWDWLWDLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
QPR
DDLDLLLLDW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.90
Against
6.10
10.50
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.10
Total goals
3.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.20goals per match
QPR conceded2.20
Matchup

QPR attack

1.00goals per match
Stoke conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.10
10.50
Match total
11.40
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.30
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
22.90
Match total
21.40

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
10.10N=10
4.50
On target
2.60
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches650
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.9%46.5%-1.5 pp
Draw27.3%28.0%+0.7 pp
Away24.8%25.5%+0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.2%
Over 2.548.9%
Over 3.524.2%
BTTS53.7%

Historical average

1.501.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.3%
1-012.0%
2-111.1%
0-08.2%
1-28.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.454.42
Average total9.87

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=650.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.540.0%
Over 11.529.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches218
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.9%33.6%–46.5% CI
Draw FT34.9%28.8%–41.4% CI
Away FT25.2%19.9%–31.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.7%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.6%
Away42.2%