Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-24 · 20:00
12.3340.6%
X3.3528.3%
23.0431.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
WLWWLDWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Middlesbrough
LWWLWWLWLD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
80%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
2.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
6.40N=10
4.00
Against
4.80
10.80
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
3.70
50%5/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.50goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded1.80
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

1.90goals per match
Luton conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
6.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.80
10.80
Match total
11.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
3.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
9.30N=10
23.40
Match total
18.00

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
13.10N=10
4.10
On target
5.00
11%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches785
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.6%41.0%+0.4 pp
Draw28.3%29.4%+1.2 pp
Away31.1%29.6%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.525.4%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.371.17

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-010.7%
2-19.9%
0-19.3%
0-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.354.62
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=785.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches249
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.5%28.9%–40.6% CI
Draw FT39.8%33.9%–45.9% CI
Away FT25.7%20.7%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.7%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.6%
Away46.6%