Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 15:00
12.4438.9%
X3.3028.8%
22.9432.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
DDDLLWWDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Stoke
WDLLLWWDWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
1.10
20%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.60
1.10
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.40
Against
4.10
8.80
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.10
2.00
Total goals
2.90
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

0.90goals per match
Stoke conceded1.10
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.80goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.40
Corners against
4.10
8.80
Match total
9.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.40
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
22.10
Match total
23.70

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
3.60
On target
5.30
6%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches556
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.9%37.9%-1.0 pp
Draw28.8%31.5%+2.7 pp
Away32.3%30.6%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.540.3%
Over 3.523.2%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.251.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
1-011.7%
0-19.9%
0-09.4%
2-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.334.60
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=556.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches190
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT28.9%23.0%–35.8% CI
Draw FT42.1%35.3%–49.2% CI
Away FT28.9%23.0%–35.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.6%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.5%
Away48.9%