Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-19 · 20:00
14.5920.7%
X3.4127.8%
21.8451.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
WDDWWLLDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Luton
WWWDDWWDDW
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
0.40
50%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.70
1.30
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.90
Against
3.40
8.20
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
0.40
2.40
Total goals
1.80
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.30goals per match
Luton conceded0.40
Matchup

Luton attack

1.40goals per match
Reading conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
3.40
8.20
Match total
7.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.10
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
24.70
Match total
24.50

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
3.20
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.7%23.7%+3.1 pp
Draw27.8%32.2%+4.4 pp
Away51.5%44.1%-7.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

0.971.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
1-213.6%
0-113.6%
0-010.2%
1-08.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.325.17
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.545.8%
Over 10.532.2%
Over 11.525.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT55.6%33.7%–75.4% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals27.8%
3+ goals5.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away44.4%