Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-19 · 19:45
11.9349.2%
X3.4027.9%
24.1422.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
LWDDWDWDLW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Cardiff
DDLLLWLLWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.40
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.50
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.20
Against
5.10
10.20
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
2.50
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.50goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.40
Matchup

Cardiff attack

0.80goals per match
Watford conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.10
10.20
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.50N=10
5.00
Match total
3.70
100%10/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
24.30
Match total
19.20

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
4.60
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches542
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.2%53.5%+4.3 pp
Draw27.9%28.8%+0.9 pp
Away22.9%17.7%-5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.7%
Over 3.521.2%
BTTS47.6%

Historical average

1.500.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.7%
1-113.5%
2-112.0%
2-011.1%
0-010.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.773.91
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=542.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.1%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches180
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.6%33.7%–47.9% CI
Draw FT42.2%35.2%–49.5% CI
Away FT17.2%12.4%–23.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.21

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.4%
2+ goals35.6%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.9%
Away37.2%