Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-18 · 20:00
11.7354.9%
X3.5326.9%
25.2318.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
DWDWDLWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Birmingham
LLWLLDLWDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
0.90
Conceded
2.20
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.60
1H goals
2.00
1.70
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.50
Against
4.60
8.80
Total
6.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
0.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.30
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.40goals per match
Birmingham conceded2.20
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.20goals per match
Millwall conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.30
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
1.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.60
8.80
Match total
6.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.40
Match total
3.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.90N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
19.80
Match total
23.40

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
4.30
On target
4.00
10%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches218
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.9%49.5%-5.4 pp
Draw26.9%29.4%+2.4 pp
Away18.2%21.1%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.517.9%
BTTS45.9%

Historical average

1.510.83

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.6%
2-013.8%
1-010.1%
0-09.6%
0-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.533.50
Average total9.03

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=218.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.0%
Over 9.542.7%
Over 10.530.7%
Over 11.522.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches79
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.0%28.1%–49.0% CI
Draw FT40.5%30.4%–51.5% CI
Away FT21.5%13.9%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals43.0%
3+ goals12.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.0%
Away39.2%