Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:00
11.9548.6%
X3.5127.0%
23.9024.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
DLWDDWDWDL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Bristol City
WDDWDLDLLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.00
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
5.30N=10
4.00
Against
4.90
10.10
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
2.30
Total goals
1.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.30goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.00
Matchup

Bristol City attack

0.90goals per match
Watford conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.90
10.10
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.70N=10
5.00
Match total
3.30
100%10/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
24.50
Match total
19.90

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
4.50
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches633
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.6%46.9%-1.7 pp
Draw27.0%28.3%+1.3 pp
Away24.3%24.8%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

1.460.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-011.8%
1-111.5%
2-111.1%
0-010.0%
2-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.664.24
Average total9.90

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=633.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.549.8%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.528.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches215
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.7%31.5%–44.3% CI
Draw FT38.1%31.9%–44.8% CI
Away FT24.2%18.9%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.24

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.7%
2+ goals35.8%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.7%
Away38.6%