Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:00
11.9050.0%
X3.5027.1%
24.1522.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sunderland
LWLWWDLLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Birmingham
DLLWLLDLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.10
1.90
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.80
2.40
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.60
Against
3.90
8.20
Total
6.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.90
Goals conceded
2.00
3.40
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sunderland attack

1.50goals per match
Birmingham conceded2.00
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.10goals per match
Sunderland conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
2.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.90
8.20
Match total
6.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
24.00
Match total
23.50

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.30
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches536
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%52.6%+2.6 pp
Draw27.1%26.3%-0.8 pp
Away22.9%21.1%-1.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.550.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-013.2%
2-111.4%
2-011.2%
1-110.6%
0-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.643.94
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=536.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches178
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.3%32.4%–46.7% CI
Draw FT41.0%34.0%–48.4% CI
Away FT19.7%14.5%–26.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.19

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals9.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.1%
Away36.0%