Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:00
11.9050.0%
X3.5027.1%
24.1522.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sunderland
LWLWWDLLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Birmingham
DLLWLLDLWD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.10
1.90
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.80
2.40
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.60
Against
3.90
8.20
Total
6.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.10
1.90
Goals conceded
2.00
3.40
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sunderland attack
1.50goals per matchBirmingham conceded2.00Matchup
Birmingham attack
1.10goals per matchSunderland conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
1.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
2.20N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.90
8.20
Match total
6.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
24.00
Match total
23.50
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
4.30
On target
3.60
13%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches536
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%52.6%+2.6 pp
Draw27.1%26.3%-0.8 pp
Away22.9%21.1%-1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.546.3%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS48.7%
Historical average
1.55–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-013.2%
2-111.4%
2-011.2%
1-110.6%
0-09.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.64–3.94
Average total9.59
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=536.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.0%
Over 9.545.9%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.525.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches178
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.3%32.4%–46.7% CI
Draw FT41.0%34.0%–48.4% CI
Away FT19.7%14.5%–26.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.19
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals36.0%
3+ goals9.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.1%
Away36.0%