Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:00
14.0923.2%
X3.3528.3%
21.9648.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rotherham
LLDWDLWWLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Luton
LWWWDDWWDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
0.60
80%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
1.80
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.20
Against
3.50
9.70
Total
7.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
0.60
3.10
Total goals
1.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Rotherham attack

1.70goals per match
Luton conceded0.60
Matchup

Luton attack

1.30goals per match
Rotherham conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.50
9.70
Match total
7.30
50%5/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.80
Match total
3.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
19.60
Match total
24.40

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
4.10
On target
3.30
16%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches118
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.2%23.7%+0.5 pp
Draw28.3%30.5%+2.2 pp
Away48.4%45.8%-2.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.556.8%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.516.9%
BTTS42.4%

Historical average

0.871.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-116.9%
0-013.6%
1-112.7%
1-012.7%
1-211.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.335.07
Average total9.40

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=118.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.1%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.537.3%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.5%14.9%–37.6% CI
Draw FT47.2%34.4%–60.3% CI
Away FT28.3%18.0%–41.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.8%
2+ goals28.3%
3+ goals9.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.2%
Away45.3%