Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 15:00
16.6514.3%
X3.9124.3%
21.5561.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
WWDDWWLLDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Burnley
LWWWWWDDWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.80
1.10
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.60
Against
3.90
8.00
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.80
1.10
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.40goals per match
Burnley conceded0.90
Matchup

Burnley attack

1.80goals per match
Reading conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.60
Corners against
3.90
8.00
Match total
8.80
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
4.00
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
24.50
Match total
23.90

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
3.50
On target
3.90
14%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches42
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.3%7.1%-7.2 pp
Draw24.3%23.8%-0.5 pp
Away61.4%69.0%+7.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.8%
BTTS42.9%

Historical average

0.641.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-219.0%
1-114.3%
0-111.9%
0-09.5%
0-39.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.456.00
Average total9.45

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=42.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT0.0%0.0%–20.4% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT60.0%35.7%–80.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home26.7%
Away73.3%