Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-10 · 15:00
13.2729.0%
X3.2429.3%
22.2741.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Birmingham
LWLLLWLLWW
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Stoke
LWDLLLWWDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.80N=10
6.20
Against
4.30
10.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.40
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.10goals per match
Stoke conceded1.30
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.80goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
6.20
Corners against
4.30
10.70
Match total
9.10
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.40
Match total
4.30
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.20N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
19.90
Match total
23.40

Shots

10.90N=10
Shots
14.00N=10
3.30
On target
5.50
10%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches308
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.0%26.6%-2.4 pp
Draw29.3%32.5%+3.2 pp
Away41.8%40.9%-0.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS43.8%

Historical average

0.981.25

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.3%
0-114.3%
1-012.0%
0-011.4%
0-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.534.82
Average total9.36

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=308.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.548.7%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.525.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches106
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.8%14.1%–29.4% CI
Draw FT46.2%37.0%–55.7% CI
Away FT33.0%24.8%–42.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.0%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals10.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.7%
Away49.1%