Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 20:00
12.7334.8%
X3.3628.3%
22.5737.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Middlesbrough
DWWWWWWWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Burnley
WLWWWWWDDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
2.00
0.50
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.00N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.80
Against
4.00
11.80
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
2.00
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.10
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
2.60goals per matchBurnley conceded1.00Matchup
Burnley attack
2.00goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.00
11.80
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.80N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
24.50
Match total
23.60
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.70
On target
3.90
19%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches613
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.8%28.9%-5.9 pp
Draw28.3%28.7%+0.4 pp
Away37.0%42.4%+5.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS52.2%
Historical average
1.12–1.35
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
0-113.5%
1-08.3%
1-28.3%
2-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.08–4.90
Average total9.99
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=613.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.528.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches199
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.1%18.7%–30.5% CI
Draw FT38.2%31.7%–45.1% CI
Away FT37.7%31.2%–44.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.41
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals15.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.7%
Away59.8%