Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 20:00
12.7334.8%
X3.3628.3%
22.5737.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Middlesbrough
DWWWWWWWDW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Burnley
WLWWWWWDDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
2.00
0.50
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.20
1.90
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.80
Against
4.00
11.80
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
2.00
0.50
Goals conceded
1.00
3.10
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

2.60goals per match
Burnley conceded1.00
Matchup

Burnley attack

2.00goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.70
2H goals scored
1.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
4.00
11.80
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
24.50
Match total
23.60

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.70
On target
3.90
19%
Conversion
19%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches613
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.8%28.9%-5.9 pp
Draw28.3%28.7%+0.4 pp
Away37.0%42.4%+5.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS52.2%

Historical average

1.121.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
0-113.5%
1-08.3%
1-28.3%
2-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.084.90
Average total9.99

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=613.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches199
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT24.1%18.7%–30.5% CI
Draw FT38.2%31.7%–45.1% CI
Away FT37.7%31.2%–44.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals15.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.7%
Away59.8%