Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 15:00
11.8152.4%
X3.5926.4%
24.4821.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Stoke
WDLLWDWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Bristol City
DWDDWDLDLL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.80
0.70
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
20%
20%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
0.80
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.00
Against
5.00
11.10
Total
10.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.80
0.70
Goals conceded
1.00
2.10
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Stoke attack
1.40goals per matchBristol City conceded1.00Matchup
Bristol City attack
0.80goals per matchStoke conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.00
11.10
Match total
10.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.50
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
22.40
Match total
20.60
Shots
12.00N=10
Shots
7.90N=10
4.20
On target
3.00
12%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches241
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home52.4%56.0%+3.6 pp
Draw26.4%29.0%+2.6 pp
Away21.2%14.9%-6.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.526.6%
BTTS53.9%
Historical average
1.66–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.9%
2-113.3%
1-112.0%
2-09.1%
0-07.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.41–4.11
Average total9.53
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=241.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.2%
Over 9.546.5%
Over 10.534.0%
Over 11.525.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%31.0%–53.2% CI
Draw FT45.8%34.8%–57.3% CI
Away FT12.5%6.7%–22.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.6%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals11.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home65.3%
Away37.5%