Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 15:00
12.9232.5%
X3.0131.5%
22.6336.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Reading
LWWDDWWLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Birmingham
WDLLWLLDLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.20
1.20
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.80
Against
3.80
8.00
Total
6.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.20
Goals conceded
2.00
2.60
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Reading attack

1.40goals per match
Birmingham conceded2.00
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.20goals per match
Reading conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.20N=10
Corners for
2.50N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.80
8.00
Match total
6.30
30%3/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.50
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
24.60
Match total
24.80

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
3.40
On target
3.50
14%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches221
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.5%33.0%+0.6 pp
Draw31.5%32.6%+1.1 pp
Away36.0%34.4%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.3%
Over 2.532.6%
Over 3.512.7%
BTTS43.0%

Historical average

0.981.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
0-014.0%
1-013.1%
1-210.9%
2-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.284.50
Average total8.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=221.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.550.7%
Over 9.539.8%
Over 10.526.7%
Over 11.519.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches103
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.0%25.6%–43.6% CI
Draw FT41.7%32.7%–51.4% CI
Away FT24.3%17.0%–33.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.17

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.9%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals11.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home52.4%
Away38.8%