Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-07 · 12:30
12.6036.5%
X2.9931.7%
22.9831.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Millwall
DDDWDWDLWL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Luton
LLWWWDDWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
0.80
40%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.60
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.20
Against
3.60
9.30
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
0.80
2.30
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Millwall attack

1.30goals per match
Luton conceded0.80
Matchup

Luton attack

1.30goals per match
Millwall conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.60
9.30
Match total
8.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.40
Match total
3.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.30N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
21.30
Match total
24.60

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
9.10N=10
4.90
On target
3.40
8%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches272
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.5%31.6%-4.9 pp
Draw31.7%36.8%+5.1 pp
Away31.8%31.6%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.515.1%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

1.061.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-118.0%
0-012.9%
1-011.4%
0-110.3%
1-28.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.704.26
Average total8.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=272.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.1%
Over 9.543.4%
Over 10.529.4%
Over 11.516.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches97
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.8%18.1%–35.3% CI
Draw FT46.4%36.8%–56.3% CI
Away FT27.8%19.9%–37.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.9%
2+ goals32.0%
3+ goals11.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.3%
Away40.2%