Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 15:00
12.4738.4%
X3.1530.1%
23.0031.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Cardiff
LLDDDLLWWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Swansea
DDDLWDLLLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.20
Against
4.70
8.70
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.00
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Cardiff attack

0.90goals per match
Swansea conceded1.60
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.10goals per match
Cardiff conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.20
Corners against
4.70
8.70
Match total
9.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
3.80
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
19.50
Match total
24.60

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
13.60N=10
3.30
On target
5.00
6%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches541
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%39.0%+0.7 pp
Draw30.1%30.7%+0.6 pp
Away31.6%30.3%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.540.1%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS48.6%

Historical average

1.191.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.0%
1-012.8%
0-010.9%
0-110.4%
2-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.214.40
Average total9.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=541.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.527.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches196
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.1%25.1%–37.9% CI
Draw FT45.4%38.6%–52.4% CI
Away FT23.5%18.1%–29.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.9%
2+ goals36.2%
3+ goals14.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.0%
Away43.9%