Championship · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 12:30
12.1244.7%
X3.2329.4%
23.6625.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
DDWLWWLDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Watford
WDWLWLDDLL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
30%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.10
Against
5.60
11.10
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
1.90
Total goals
2.00
40%4/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.10goals per match
Watford conceded1.20
Matchup

Watford attack

0.80goals per match
Luton conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.60
11.10
Match total
10.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.40
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.60N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
22.60
Match total
25.30

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
4.00
On target
3.00
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches321
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.7%39.9%-4.9 pp
Draw29.4%36.1%+6.8 pp
Away25.9%24.0%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.565.7%
Over 2.535.2%
Over 3.519.6%
BTTS46.1%

Historical average

1.270.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
0-014.0%
1-012.5%
2-010.6%
0-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.344.19
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=321.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.548.0%
Over 10.534.9%
Over 11.526.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches132
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT32.6%25.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT47.7%39.4%–56.2% CI
Away FT19.7%13.8%–27.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.12

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.9%
2+ goals34.1%
3+ goals7.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.2%
Away37.1%