Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-31 · 20:00
11.4565.6%
X4.5021.1%
27.2013.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Burnley
WWWWWWWDWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Sunderland
WWDWDDWLLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
1.70
0.50
Conceded
0.90
80%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.10
1H goals
0.80
2.00
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.30
Against
4.40
8.60
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
1.70
0.50
Goals conceded
0.90
3.10
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Burnley attack
2.60goals per matchSunderland conceded0.90Matchup
Sunderland attack
1.70goals per matchBurnley conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.80
2H goals scored
1.30
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.30
Corners against
4.40
8.60
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.90
Match total
4.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
19.60
Match total
24.20
Shots
16.50N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
6.40
On target
4.40
16%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches127
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.6%76.4%+10.7 pp
Draw21.1%12.6%-8.6 pp
Away13.2%11.0%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.5%
Over 2.552.8%
Over 3.525.2%
BTTS39.4%
Historical average
2.13–0.62
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-019.7%
2-115.7%
1-012.6%
3-09.4%
0-16.3%
Comparable corner averages
6.21–3.25
Average total9.46
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=127.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.547.2%
Over 10.534.6%
Over 11.525.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches38
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.4%52.5%–80.9% CI
Draw FT15.8%7.4%–30.4% CI
Away FT15.8%7.4%–30.4% CI
Remaining goals
2.05
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal94.7%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals34.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home84.2%
Away34.2%