Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 12:30
12.0945.3%
X3.4027.9%
23.5326.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Swansea
WDLWLLWLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Bristol City
LDWDDWDLDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.80
1.70
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
20%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.80
1H goals
0.90
1.60
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.60
Against
5.70
8.30
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.00
3.40
Total goals
1.80
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Swansea attack

1.70goals per match
Bristol City conceded1.00
Matchup

Bristol City attack

0.80goals per match
Swansea conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.70
8.30
Match total
10.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.00
Match total
3.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
22.70
Match total
20.60

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
5.30
On target
2.70
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches494
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.3%41.9%-3.4 pp
Draw27.9%30.6%+2.7 pp
Away26.8%27.5%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.461.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.0%
1-09.5%
2-19.3%
0-18.5%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.494.16
Average total9.65

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=494.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches164
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT32.9%26.2%–40.4% CI
Draw FT39.0%31.9%–46.7% CI
Away FT28.0%21.7%–35.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals14.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.1%
Away50.0%