Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
11.7255.2%
X3.6426.1%
25.0518.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Watford
LWDLWDDWDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Wigan
DLDLDDDLLL
0W 5D 5L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
1.70
20%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.10
Against
5.20
10.10
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.70
1.90
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Watford attack
1.20goals per matchWigan conceded1.70Matchup
Wigan attack
0.70goals per matchWatford conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.10
Corners against
5.20
10.10
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.00
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
25.80
Match total
22.40
Shots
13.00N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
4.40
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches293
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.2%55.3%+0.1 pp
Draw26.1%24.9%-1.1 pp
Away18.8%19.8%+1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.547.1%
Over 3.519.1%
BTTS49.1%
Historical average
1.63–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-114.7%
1-112.6%
2-012.6%
1-09.9%
0-07.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.96–3.85
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=293.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.528.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT47.1%37.8%–56.6% CI
Draw FT30.8%22.7%–40.2% CI
Away FT22.1%15.2%–31.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.46
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.8%
2+ goals45.2%
3+ goals18.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.5%
Away39.4%