Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
12.6735.4%
X3.1829.7%
22.7134.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sunderland
LWLWLWWDLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Luton
WLLWWWDDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.00
2.20
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.60
Against
3.90
9.20
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
0.70
2.80
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sunderland attack

1.30goals per match
Luton conceded0.70
Matchup

Luton attack

1.30goals per match
Sunderland conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.90
9.20
Match total
9.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
3.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
23.90
Match total
24.00

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.90
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches706
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%32.4%-3.0 pp
Draw29.7%35.6%+5.8 pp
Away34.9%32.0%-2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

1.171.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
0-011.2%
0-110.8%
1-09.5%
2-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.984.83
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=705.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches249
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.5%21.4%–32.3% CI
Draw FT45.8%39.7%–52.0% CI
Away FT27.7%22.5%–33.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals12.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.6%
Away47.8%