Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
12.6735.4%
X3.1829.7%
22.7134.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sunderland
LWLWLWWDLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Luton
WLLWWWDDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
1.30
1.50
Conceded
0.70
60%
Over 2.5
30%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.60
1H goals
1.00
2.20
2H goals
1.00
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.60N=10
For
5.60N=10
5.60
Against
3.90
9.20
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded
0.70
2.80
Total goals
2.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sunderland attack
1.30goals per matchLuton conceded0.70Matchup
Luton attack
1.30goals per matchSunderland conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
1.20
2H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.60N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
5.60
Corners against
3.90
9.20
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.50N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
23.90
Match total
24.00
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
3.90
On target
3.40
12%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches706
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.4%32.4%-3.0 pp
Draw29.7%35.6%+5.8 pp
Away34.9%32.0%-2.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.6%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.0%
BTTS51.8%
Historical average
1.17–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-116.9%
0-011.2%
0-110.8%
1-09.5%
2-19.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.98–4.83
Average total9.81
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=705.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.551.9%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.527.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches249
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.5%21.4%–32.3% CI
Draw FT45.8%39.7%–52.0% CI
Away FT27.7%22.5%–33.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.16
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal68.3%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals12.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home42.6%
Away47.8%