Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 15:00
12.3740.1%
X3.2229.5%
23.1230.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

QPR
LLLLDDLLLW
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Birmingham
LWDLLWLLDL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.20
1.90
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.80
1.10
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.80N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.20
Against
3.00
10.00
Total
6.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.90
Goals conceded
2.20
2.50
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

QPR attack

0.60goals per match
Birmingham conceded2.20
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.20goals per match
QPR conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.10
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.80N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
4.20
Corners against
3.00
10.00
Match total
6.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.80
Match total
3.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
24.70
Match total
23.00

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
2.80
On target
3.50
5%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches778
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%41.0%+0.9 pp
Draw29.5%30.8%+1.4 pp
Away30.4%28.1%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.520.2%
BTTS47.2%

Historical average

1.231.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
1-012.2%
0-011.2%
0-19.1%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.054.45
Average total9.50

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=778.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.525.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches285
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.2%25.1%–35.7% CI
Draw FT44.9%39.2%–50.7% CI
Away FT24.9%20.2%–30.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.5%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals13.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.2%
Away43.2%