Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-15 · 19:45
11.8351.7%
X3.4927.1%
24.4821.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Luton
DDDWLWWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Bristol City
WLDWDDWDLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.40
Against
6.30
11.50
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
2.00
Total goals
1.90
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Luton attack

1.10goals per match
Bristol City conceded0.90
Matchup

Bristol City attack

1.00goals per match
Luton conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.30
11.50
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
3.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
23.40
Match total
19.90

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
3.70
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches304
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.7%54.6%+2.9 pp
Draw27.1%27.6%+0.5 pp
Away21.1%17.8%-3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.550.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.5%
2-112.8%
2-011.8%
1-110.2%
0-09.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.563.87
Average total9.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=304.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.2%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.532.2%
Over 11.523.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches89
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.7%32.9%–53.1% CI
Draw FT46.1%36.1%–56.4% CI
Away FT11.2%6.2%–19.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.4%
2+ goals32.6%
3+ goals7.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.3%
Away30.3%