Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-15 · 19:45
11.8351.7%
X3.4927.1%
24.4821.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Luton
DDDWLWWLDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Bristol City
WLDWDDWDLD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.10
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.00
1.20
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.40
Against
6.30
11.50
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
0.90
2.00
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Luton attack
1.10goals per matchBristol City conceded0.90Matchup
Bristol City attack
1.00goals per matchLuton conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.30
11.50
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.20
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.90N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
23.40
Match total
19.90
Shots
12.80N=10
Shots
7.80N=10
3.70
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches304
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.7%54.6%+2.9 pp
Draw27.1%27.6%+0.5 pp
Away21.1%17.8%-3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.547.0%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS48.7%
Historical average
1.55–0.88
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-014.5%
2-112.8%
2-011.8%
1-110.2%
0-09.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.56–3.87
Average total9.42
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=304.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.2%
Over 9.546.4%
Over 10.532.2%
Over 11.523.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches89
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.7%32.9%–53.1% CI
Draw FT46.1%36.1%–56.4% CI
Away FT11.2%6.2%–19.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.10
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.4%
2+ goals32.6%
3+ goals7.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home57.3%
Away30.3%