Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-14 · 20:00
11.7155.4%
X3.7925.0%
24.8219.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Middlesbrough
LDDWWWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Stoke
LWLWDLLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.50
0.60
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.70
Against
4.00
11.80
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Middlesbrough attack

2.20goals per match
Stoke conceded1.50
Matchup

Stoke attack

1.50goals per match
Middlesbrough conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.00
11.80
Match total
8.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.50
Match total
4.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
22.80
Match total
23.50

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
5.90
On target
4.80
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches411
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.4%57.7%+2.3 pp
Draw25.0%22.9%-2.1 pp
Away19.6%19.5%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS49.9%

Historical average

1.740.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.2%
2-011.9%
2-111.2%
1-110.2%
0-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.943.91
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=411.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.530.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches127
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.8%40.3%–57.4% CI
Draw FT32.3%24.8%–40.8% CI
Away FT18.9%13.0%–26.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals11.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.8%
Away37.0%