Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-14 · 20:00
11.7155.4%
X3.7925.0%
24.8219.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Middlesbrough
LDDWWWWWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Stoke
LWLWDLLLWW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.50
0.60
Conceded
1.50
60%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.70
Against
4.00
11.80
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Middlesbrough attack
2.20goals per matchStoke conceded1.50Matchup
Stoke attack
1.50goals per matchMiddlesbrough conceded0.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
4.00
11.80
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.50
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
22.80
Match total
23.50
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
5.90
On target
4.80
16%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches411
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.4%57.7%+2.3 pp
Draw25.0%22.9%-2.1 pp
Away19.6%19.5%-0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.7%
BTTS49.9%
Historical average
1.74–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.2%
2-011.9%
2-111.2%
1-110.2%
0-06.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.94–3.91
Average total9.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=411.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.538.9%
Over 11.530.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches127
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.8%40.3%–57.4% CI
Draw FT32.3%24.8%–40.8% CI
Away FT18.9%13.0%–26.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.0%
2+ goals38.6%
3+ goals11.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home59.8%
Away37.0%