Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-14 · 19:45
11.8451.5%
X3.4327.6%
24.5420.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Watford
WLWDLWDDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Birmingham
WLWDLLWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.40
0.70
Conceded
1.90
20%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.70
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.10
Against
3.40
10.40
Total
7.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.40
0.70
Goals conceded
1.90
2.00
Total goals
3.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Watford attack

1.30goals per match
Birmingham conceded1.90
Matchup

Birmingham attack

1.40goals per match
Watford conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.40
10.40
Match total
7.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.30
Match total
3.60
100%10/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
24.90
Match total
21.80

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.70
On target
3.20
10%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches198
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.5%50.0%-1.5 pp
Draw27.6%31.3%+3.7 pp
Away20.9%18.7%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.518.7%
BTTS41.4%

Historical average

1.420.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-015.7%
0-012.6%
1-112.1%
2-011.6%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.343.57
Average total8.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=198.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.1%
Over 9.540.9%
Over 10.529.3%
Over 11.518.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches74
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.9%31.3%–53.3% CI
Draw FT43.2%32.6%–54.6% CI
Away FT14.9%8.5%–24.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.09

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.2%
2+ goals28.4%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.4%
Away31.1%