Championship · 2022/23
2023-03-14 · 19:45
12.7035.1%
X3.0930.7%
22.7734.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Rotherham
WLLLDWDLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Preston
WLWWLWWLDD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
1.20
80%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.70
2.10
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
3.90N=10
5.40
Against
5.60
9.50
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
1.20
3.30
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Rotherham attack
1.70goals per matchPreston conceded1.20Matchup
Preston attack
1.20goals per matchRotherham conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.60
9.50
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.40
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.40N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
19.40
Match total
21.30
Shots
10.00N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
3.70
On target
3.10
17%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches509
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.1%31.8%-3.3 pp
Draw30.7%37.1%+6.5 pp
Away34.2%31.0%-3.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.536.7%
Over 3.517.3%
BTTS48.7%
Historical average
1.05–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.3%
0-014.5%
1-013.2%
0-110.0%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.72–4.59
Average total9.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=509.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.547.5%
Over 10.534.0%
Over 11.523.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches210
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.5%23.8%–36.0% CI
Draw FT49.0%42.4%–55.8% CI
Away FT21.4%16.4%–27.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.09
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal64.8%
2+ goals31.0%
3+ goals11.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.6%
Away41.0%